Mechanistic traits to predict shifts in tree species abundance and distribution with climate change in the Amazonian forest


Labex CEBA 2016


Ghilsain VIEILLEDENT (AMAP, Montpellier, France)
Clément STAHL

Presentation of the project

Climate models predict a range of changes in tropical forest regions, e.g. increasing frequency of drought events and increasing fertilization by atmospheric CO2 concentration modulated by soil nutrients limitations. These changes could lead to deep disturbances of the Amazonian forest. Even if these projections remain uncertain, mature tropical forests have proven highly vulnerable to the observed increase in extreme drought events over the past decades. Our objectives are to understand the tree species abundance and distribution in regards to their climatic niche and simulate the potential change in species distribution in the context of climate change in the Amazonian region

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